2012年10月15日 星期一

朱鎔基:房地產(問題)根子就是房改政策錯誤

27-05-2011  財經網

我們制定了一個錯誤的政策,就是房地產的錢,都收給地方政府,而且不納入預算

據鳳凰衛視報導,前國務院總理朱鎔基在清華百年校慶之際與清華師生座談中,直言不諱地就分稅制、土地財政、城市交通、義務教育等社會熱點問題,表達了自己的思考。

朱鎔基說:最近呢,還有一種謬論呢,國外的報紙也有,國內的報紙也有,說這個房地產項目這麼沉重,都是過去這個分稅制搞壞了,說稅收都收給中央來了,地方沒錢了,所以它只有發展房地產才有錢?狗屁!

他表示:我們制定了一個錯誤的政策,就是房地產的錢,都收給地方政府,而且不納入預算,這不得了。這個錢就是搜刮民膏,所以把地價抬得那麼高。這個絕對不是分稅制的錯誤。地方沒少收錢。(財政收入)總共8萬億,一來一回(地方)收回來73千億,還少啊?還沒錢?現在地方有的是錢。這房地產 (問題)根子就是房改政策錯誤。

在此次座談中,朱鎔基重點談了對近年來爭議頗多的分稅制功過問題的看法。

他說:攻擊分稅制,說分稅制掏空地方財政,造成農民貧窮的人,根本就是無知!無知還透頂!

他表示,為此發脾氣絕不是為了我個人,也是為了整個中央第三代領導集體。

2010年財政收入資料為依據,他對分稅制掏空地方財政,造成地方財政弱勢,使得地方把負擔都轉嫁到農民頭上,進而倚重土地財政,直接推高房價的觀點予以批駁。其中提及的中央與地方財政分賬資料,此前官方尚未披露過。

他說:去年全國財政收入83000億,其中,地方直接收入4萬億,中央稅收返還(給地方)33000億,兩者相加是73000億,占了大部分 啊。中央財政收入多少?是15900億(注:原話如此),占83000億的20%左右吧。9293年中央財政收入比重是28%27%,現在20%都不 到,怎麼能說中央把稅都收上去了,收得過多呢?

對分稅制存在的問題,他也有反思:當然我們還有缺點,主要是返還支付的方式。稅收返還(轉移支付)的工作做得不好,要靠地方跑部錢進,求爺爺告奶奶才能拿到。

同時,他表示:分稅制有缺點,但我負的責任不是主要的,因為我當時就說,分稅制改革沒有完,要繼續進行。

除分稅制、房地產問題外,對於當年他于任上大力提倡重點發展的汽車行業現狀,朱鎔基也表達了自己的看法。

2003年的21號,農曆春節,朱鎔基拜訪北京市公共交通總公司並做講話,中央電視臺當時報導了講話內容:中國要解決城市交通問題,從根本 上說,是要大力發展公共交通。解決城市交通問題應加強科學管理,提高城市交通效率,還要大力發展環保型公車,減少機動車污染,進一步改善空氣品質。

在此次座談中他說:那是我的(任內公開的)最後一次講話,我拜託大家別拿公款去買小汽車,去補貼小汽車,拜託大家多發展公共汽車,發展公共交通吧。如果這麼做了,何至於有今天。如果那時候照我說的做了,現在北京就不會那麼堵車了。

他還表示,上海車展上有的名貴小汽車一輛一億多,還有不少企業家買飛機,而農村呢,有的地方依然吃不飽,我們解放了這麼多年,農村的居民這麼貧苦。我從來不主張財政補貼發展汽車工業,我主張全力加強農村義務教育。

由此,談及教育問題,他說我們現在的義務教育怎麼樣?(農村)好多同學都輟學了,都提前去城市裏打工了。

早在1993年,中共中央、國務院制定的《中國教育改革和發展綱要》中就明確提出:逐步提高國家財政性教育經費支出占國民生產總值的比例,在本世界未達到4%但迄今為止,“4%”的政策目標並未實現。

2010729日,《國家中長期教育改革和發展規劃綱要(2010-2020年)》正式全文發佈。關於經費保障,表述為提高國家財政性教育經費支出占國內生產總值比例,2012年達到4%

對這份《綱要》,朱鎔基批評其中不少是空話

由義務教育談及國民教育,結合日本大地震,他說,這次日本大地震,日本的國民損失這麼大,連我們都膽戰心驚,但老百姓普遍不驚,還是講禮貌,還是講公德,在這中國是做不到的,中國要是碰到這麼大的地震就亂了套了,這個國民性的養成一定要從國民教育開始。

你不花大力氣搞國民教育,就出很多問題,現在很多人唯利是圖。朱鎔基說。

Made in Sai Kung 2012











2012年10月12日 星期五

China Room to Ease Seen Fading as Pork Costs End Inflation Lull

12-10-2012  Bloomberg

A U.S. drought that pushed soybean and corn prices to records is adding to the risk of a rebound in inflation in China, where consumer-price gains were probably close to the slowest in two years in September.

Inflation was 1.9 percent last month, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey before a report on Oct. 15. Credit Agricole CIB says the rate may approach 4 percent by year-end and Citigroup Inc. estimates a pace of about 3.5 percent.

The prospect of faster price gains in coming months may encourage policy makers to refrain from cutting interest rates for a third time this year, contrasting with reductions in Brazil, South Korea and Australia and adding to the risk economic growth will be the weakest since 1999. Increased grain costs are feeding into pork prices and the government is also battling to prevent a rebound in the housing market.

“Inflation will rise in the fourth quarter as pork and other food prices are expected to climb and housing costs are creeping up,” said Dariusz Kowalczyk, senior economist and strategist at Credit Agricole CIB in Hong Kong. “This means there is no room for the central bank to cut interest rates.”

The benchmark one-year lending rate is now 6 percent and the one-year deposit rate stands at 3 percent after reductions in June and July.

Stocks in China have slumped about 15 percent from this year’s high on March 2 on concern the government isn’t loosening monetary policy or introducing stimulus policies fast enough, as the central bank focuses on operations in the money market. The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index (SHCOMP) fell 0.8 percent yesterday.

Currency Strengthens

The yuan rose beyond 6.28 per dollar for the first time in 19 years yesterday on speculation policy makers will act to revive growth and as the central bank raised the currency’s fixing by the most in seven weeks.
Trade figures to be released tomorrow may show some improvement in exports. Overseas shipments probably rose 5.5 percent from a year earlier, according to the median estimate of 35 economists, after a 2.7 percent gain in August. Imports increased 2.4 percent, the survey indicated, after a 2.6 percent drop the previous month.
Industrial output, retail sales, fixed-asset investment and gross domestic product figures are due Oct. 18.
The worst U.S. drought in half a century and dry weather in Europe this year are limiting world corn supplies. In China, officials have sold reserves to limit the effect on costs and monitored prices of cooking oil made from soybeans.

Leadership Handover

A rebound in inflation would complicate efforts to reverse a slowdown that probably extended into a seventh quarter in the three months through September, as the Communist Party prepares for a once-a-decade leadership transition. The People’s Bank of China said last month that it will place a bigger emphasis on price stability in its monetary policy making.
China futures for soybean-meal, the main protein ingredient used in animal feed, advanced to a record last month and wholesale pork prices climbed for seven straight weeks through the week ended Sept. 23.

“The lagged impact of rising corn and soybean prices will push consumer inflation above 3 percent by the year end,” said Yao Wei, China economist at Societe Generale SA in Hong Kong. “Pork prices may take up the inflation baton in coming months.”

China’s inflation rate in the first eight months of the year was 2.9 percent, National Bureau of Statistics data show. The estimates of 34 economists for September consumer-price gains range from 1.5 percent to 2.2 percent.

Producer Prices

In contrast, September’s producer-price index, which measures prices at the factory gate, probably fell 3.5 percent from a year earlier, the seventh straight drop, the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey showed. That data is also due Oct. 15.

China’s economy expanded 7.6 percent in the second quarter from a year earlier, the least in three years, as Premier Wen Jiabao's campaign to cool prices damped demand and Europe's debt crisis crimped exports. Growth may have slowed to 7.4 percent in the third quarter, according to the median estimate of 23 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News from Sept. 11 to 18.

The International Monetary Fund on Oct. 9 cut its projection for China’s expansion this year to 7.8 percent, which would be the weakest pace in 13 years. Alcoa Inc., the largest U.S. aluminum producer, this week reduced its forecast for global consumption of the metal, citing China as the main driver of the slowdown.

--Zheng Lifei. Editors: Nerys Avery, Patrick Harrington

2012年10月11日 星期四

2012年10月10日 星期三

自製肉骨茶 Bak Kut Teh

是日晚餐:肉骨茶

買咗三斤排骨,盛惠百五蚊,好變態!

朋友响新加坡買番嚟嘅肉骨茶包

成個煲都喺肉,場面好震撼!!